Volume 20, Issue 3 (9-2021)                   TB 2021, 20(3): 75-87 | Back to browse issues page

Research code: 7391
Ethics code: IR.SSU.SPH.REC.1399.089


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HEYDARI BEHNOIE A, Fallahzadeh Abargooi H, Malboosbaf Esfahani R, Jambarsang S. Investigating Global and Regional Trends of DALY due to Cardiovascular Diseases Using Latent Growth Model. TB. 2021; 20 (3) :75-87
URL: http://tbj.ssu.ac.ir/article-1-3131-en.html
Shahid Sadoughi University of Yazd , s.jambarsang@gmail.com
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Investigating Global and Regional Trends of DALY due to Cardiovascular Diseases Using Latent Growth Model
 
Ahmad Heidari Behnouieh (M.Sc.)1, Hossein Fallahzadeh (Ph.D.)2, Ramin Malboosbaf(M.D.)3,                                  Sara Jambarsang(Ph.D.)4
 
1.M.Sc. of  Biostatistics, Center for Healthcare Data Modeling, School of Public Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences, Yazd, Iran.
2.Professor of Biostatistics, Center for Healthcare Data Modeling, School of Public Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences, Yazd, Iran.
3.Assistant Professor, Endocrine Research Center, Institute of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Iran University of Medical science, Tehran, Iran.
4.Corresponding Author: Assistant Professor, Center for Healthcare Data Modeling, School of Public Health Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences. Email:s.jambarsang@yahoo.com           Tel:09171091304
 
Abstract
Introduction: The global trend of cardiovascular diseases is increasing. This study was conducted to investigate the global and regional trends of DALY due to cardiovascular diseases during 1990-2017.
Methods: In this modeling study, the global burden rate of diseases, injuries, and risk factors by years of disability, years of life with disability, and years of life lost due to premature death related to cardiovascular diseases during 1990 to 2017 in 195 countries as the study population, which was extracted from the IHME site.
Results: The growth rate of DALY due to cardiovascular diseases in the high-income region (growth rate coefficient = 450.85) was higher than other regions and the highest mean DALY rate due to cardiovascular diseases was for Central and Eastern Europe and Central Asia (mean rate = 106767) compared to other regions. Overall, the growth rate of DALY due to cardiovascular diseases in the regions of Latin America and the Caribbean, South Asia and Southeast Asia, East Asia and Oceania was positive and the growth rate of DALY due to cardiovascular diseases was negative in Central Europe, Eastern Europe and Central Asia, high-income countries, North Africa and the Middle East and sub-Saharan Africa.
Conclusion: The positive and negative trends observed in different economic regions indicate the need for planning to prevent cardiovascular diseases in lower income areas.
 
Keywords: Cardiovascular Disease, Latent Growth Model, Global Burden of Disease, Disability
Conflict of interest: The authors declared that there is no Conflict interest.
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Type of Study: Applicable | Subject: General
Received: 2020/11/3 | Accepted: 2021/01/30 | Published: 2021/09/1

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